Describes a method for analyzing the forces that influence election results and predicting the outcome of elections for the president of the United States

"It's the economy, stupid," as Democratic strategist James Carville would say. After many years of study, Ray C. Fair has found that the state of the economy ha

In presidential elections, do voters cast their ballots for the candidates whose platform and positions best match their own? Or is the race for president of th

Presenting models for making predictions about presidential elections, this brief supplementary text is accessible to students without a statistical background

In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the