In this paper I assess the ability of econometric and machine learning techniques to predict fiscal crises out of sample. I show that the econometric approaches

Machine learning tools are well known for their success in prediction. But prediction is not causation, and causal discovery is at the core of most questions co

Bachelor Thesis from the year 2024 in the subject Computer Science - Commercial Information Technology, grade: 1.0, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, la

Machine learning models are becoming increasingly important in the prediction of economic crises. The models, however, use datasets comprising a large number of