Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages Over the Agricultural Production Cycle
Author | : Mark Richard Rosenzweig |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 14 |
Release | : 2014 |
ISBN-10 | : OCLC:868629627 |
ISBN-13 | : |
Rating | : 4/5 ( Downloads) |
Download or read book Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages Over the Agricultural Production Cycle written by Mark Richard Rosenzweig and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We look at the effects of rainfall forecasts and realized rainfall on equilibrium agricultural wages over the course of the agricultural production cycle. We show theoretically that a forecast of good weather can lower wages in the planting stage, by lowering ex ante out-migration, and can exacerbate the negative impact of adverse weather on harvest-stage wages. Using Indian household panel data describing early-season migration and district-level planting- and harvest-stage wages over the period 2005-2010, we find results consistent with the model, indicating that rainfall forecasts improve labor allocations on average but exacerbate wage volatility because they are imperfect.